The previous board was a push, so I'm still up 11 imps going into
Board 12
Our side vulnerable
♠ A J 8 7 ♥ A K 6 4 ♦ Q 8 5 ♣ 7 2 |
LHO opens with one diamond--pass--pass to me. I balance with one notrump, showing 11 to 14 HCP. Partner bids two hearts, a transfer to spades.
In most circumstances I would pre-accept with four-card support. But partner had a chance to overcall one diamond with one spade and chose not to, so he can't have much. A game seems unlikely under these conditions. I bid a cautious two spades, which ends the auction. LHO leads the spade ten.
NORTH Robot ♠ K Q 9 5 4 ♥ J 10 7 ♦ 10 4 ♣ J 8 3 |
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SOUTH Phillip ♠ A J 8 7 ♥ A K 6 4 ♦ Q 8 5 ♣ 7 2 |
West | North | East | South |
Robot | Robot | Robot | Phillip |
1 ♦ | Pass | Pass | 1 NT |
Pass | 2 ♥ | Pass | 2 ♠ |
(All pass) |
If West has an ace-king, one would expect him to lead it in preference to a trump. Is it possible that he doesn't have an ace-king? Since East passed one diamond, he has at most five HCP. So he can't have both minor-suit kings. And if he has an ace, he can't have a king at all. So West must have ace-king in one minor or the other.
Given my one notrump bid, not leading from ace-king of diamonds is understandable. If I have queen-jack of diamonds, leading a high diamond may blow a trick. But not leading from ace-king of clubs would be strange. So East should have either the ace or king of clubs.
Even after my one notrump call, West might have led from ace-king fifth of diamonds, trying to give his partner a ruff. So he probably has only four. That means he's either balanced or 1-4-4-4.
There are 19 HCP outstanding, so West must have at least 14. If he is 1-4-4-4, he probably would have doubled two spades for takeout, so I suspect he is balanced. That means he has exactly 14, since he didn't open with one notrump. So the high cards must be distributed specifically 14-5.
West wouldn't have led the spade ten from ten third, so the only patterns consistent with his one diamond opening are 2-3-4-4 and 2-4-4-3. Some players might open one diamond with 2-2-4-5, but I've never seen the robots do that.
So I know quite a bit. I know West is 2-3-4-4 or 2-4-4-3 with exactly 14 HCP and East has either the ace of king of clubs. Do I know anything else? Maybe. With ace-king-jack fourth of diamonds, West has no reason to spurn a diamond lead. So East should have the jack of diamonds along with his club honor. To have exactly five HCP, East must have specifically the ace of clubs and the jack of diamonds. We are almost double dummy. West has either
♠ 10 x ♥ Q x x ♦ A K x x ♣ K Q x x |
♠ 10 x ♥ Q x x x ♦ A K x x ♣ K Q x |
While I can't rule out the first hand, it's less likely than the second, since if one of those club x's is the ten--or even the nine, West might have preferred the king of clubs to a trump lead. If I were playing face-to-face, I would write the second hand down on a napkin, fold it, and set it aside to show the table when the deal was over. If I was right, I would look like a genius.
I win the spade lead with the ace and play a spade back to dummy. Spades, as expected, are two-two.
I might as well take the losing heart finesse. I know West doesn't have a doubleton queen, so there is no reason to play for the drop. Taking the finesse keeps my heart holding concealed. If the defense doesn't cash their diamonds, I can pitch a diamond from dummy on a long heart.
I lead the heart jack--deuce--four--queen. West cashes the diamond king. East plays the three. Since my eight and five are both higher than the three, there is nothing to gain by false-carding. I play the five.
West shifts to the nine of hearts, so the diamond goes away. Making three.
NORTH Robot ♠ K Q 9 5 4 ♥ J 10 7 ♦ 10 4 ♣ J 8 3 |
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WEST Robot ♠ 10 6 ♥ Q 9 5 ♦ A K 9 6 ♣ K Q 9 6 |
EAST Robot ♠ 3 2 ♥ 8 3 2 ♦ J 7 3 2 ♣ A 10 5 4 |
|
SOUTH Phillip ♠ A J 8 7 ♥ A K 6 4 ♦ Q 8 5 ♣ 7 2 |
It may seem like a waste of time to construct the layout so fully when there was nothing to the play. But it was good practice. And fun. And, as it turns out, there was something to the play. Without my construction, I might have tried to drop the queen of hearts. Then West would have known to cash out. So I probably did gain an imp from the exercise.
Unfortunately, I picked the wrong hand for the napkin. So I don't look like a genius. Maybe a fallible genius?
Incidentally, what hand was West playing me for when he shifted to a heart? Maybe
♠ A J x x ♥ K x x ♦ Q x x ♣ A x x ? |
He was hoping for a heart to the ace, a club to his queen, and a heart exit, which beats me. No, wait. It doesn't. West is strip-squeezed. I cash winners, coming down to
NORTH Robot ♠ -- ♥ -- ♦ 10 ♣ J 8 |
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SOUTH Phillip ♠ -- ♥ -- ♦ Q ♣ A x |
West must either stiff his club king or come down to two clubs and a stiff diamond ace, in which case I can toss him in.
Maybe East should win the heart ace and switch to the diamond jack. If so, I cover. West wins and exits with a heart. I ruff the diamond in dummy, coming down to
NORTH Robot ♠ K 9 ♥ -- ♦ -- ♣ J 8 3 |
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SOUTH Phillip ♠ J x ♥ -- ♦ -- ♣ A x x |
Now a trump to my hand and a low club endplays West.
West can't beat me if I hold that hand, so he must have been playing for something else. How about
♠ A J x x ♥ A x x ♦ J x x ♣ A x x ? |
West shifts to the heart nine. I duck. Now he underleads to the diamond queen for a club back.
But why shift to a heart at all? If I have the heart eight, it costs a trick. Since West needs to play East for the diamond queen anyway, why not just underlead the diamond now, get a club shift, then exit with a third diamond? I could understand a diamond underlead, which also blows a trick, but I don't understand the heart shift. If anyone can think of a layout where it's necessary, let me know.
I also don't understand East's three of diamonds. When West cashes the diamond king, he is obviously fishing for the queen for an underlead. East should play his highest diamond spot with the queen and his lowest without it. He should never play the middle card.
Now see what Jazlene has to say about this board at JazPlaysBridge.