The second board of my match against Jazlene was a tie, with each of us pushing the opponents up to the three level to no avail. Now on to Board 3, which I hope will offer some avail.
Board 3
Opponents vulnerable
♠ K 9 4 ♥ K J 6 ♦ A J 8 3 ♣ Q 7 5 |
I open with one diamond, partner bids one heart, I rebid one notrump, and partner raises to three. West leads the ten of spades.
NORTH Robot ♠ J 3 ♥ A 10 5 3 ♦ K Q 10 ♣ K J 6 4 |
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SOUTH Phillip ♠ K 9 4 ♥ K J 6 ♦ A J 8 3 ♣ Q 7 5 |
West | North | East | South |
Robot | Robot | Robot | Phillip |
1 ♦ | |||
Pass | 1 ♥ | Pass | 1 NT |
Pass | 3 NT | (All pass) |
I play the jack from dummy, East covers with the queen, and I win with the king.
If the lead was from a doubleton ten, my nine is a stopper. But that would mean East passed over one heart with ace-queen sixth of spades. I suppose that's possible, since he is vul against not. It's also possible that West led the ten from ace-ten third. The ten is the normal lead from honor-ten third to start an unblock. Imagine, for example, I held the same hand without the spade nine. If West leads the ten from ace-ten third and I take the king, the defense can cash four spade tricks. If West leads low, he blocks the suit.
What do I need to do to make this? I have four diamond tricks, two hearts, and one spade. I need two more. I can develop two club tricks by knocking out the ace. If West wins the ace, they can't beat me. If East wins and plays a spade, I have to guess whether to duck, playing West for ace-ten third, or to hop, playing West for ten doubleton.
It's not much of a guess. A timid East might pass over one heart with ace-queen sixth of spades and out. But no one would pass with ace-queen sixth and an ace. Well, maybe Harold Berlin. But he's not around anymore. So if East shows up with the club ace, the spade ace is 100% to be on my left.
Furthermore, even if East forgot to look at his hand during the bidding, he's probably looking at it now. If he holds ace-queen sixth of spades, for all he knows, his partner has led from ten-nine doubleton and the spades are running if he cashes them from the top. How could he ever underlead his ace and risk West's winning his stiff nine? So I have two reasons to duck a spade return.
If I were actually worried about "misguessing" spades, I could play a diamond to dummy and a heart to my jack. If I can take four heart tricks, I won't need to knock out the club ace. Losing the heart finesse to West won't hurt, since if he continues spades, he gives me my ninth trick. If he doesn't, I can just revert to playing on clubs. But I'm not getting the spades wrong. So why throw an imp away for no reason?
Which club should I lead? Since dummy has the six, it makes no difference whether I lead the five or the seven. I choose the seven out of habit. West hops with the club ace and cashes the ace of spades, presumably hoping his partner has the nine and the suit is running.
I claim the rest. Making five.
NORTH Robot ♠ J 3 ♥ A 10 5 3 ♦ K Q 10 ♣ K J 6 4 |
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WEST Robot ♠ A 10 8 6 ♥ 4 2 ♦ 9 5 4 2 ♣ A 8 3 |
EAST Robot ♠ Q 7 5 2 ♥ Q 9 8 7 ♦ 7 6 ♣ 10 9 2 |
|
SOUTH Phillip ♠ K 9 4 ♥ K J 6 ♦ A J 8 3 ♣ Q 7 5 |
West had ace-ten-eight fourth? That holding I wasn't expecting. In a real game, I would wonder if partner had flashed his hand and West had caught a glimpse of the jack. In that case, leading the ten might make some sense. It turns out I was wrong when I said it wouldn't hurt to lose a heart finesse to West. Since West holds four spades, I could go down if the finesse lost and East had the club ace.
I want to go back to a statement I made earlier. I said that it made no difference whether I led the club five or the seven, because dummy held the six. What if dummy held KJ43? Would my choice make a difference now?
It might. Suppose, for example, that the six is West's lowest card. If I lead the five and West follows the six, East will know West played low. But if I lead the seven, East won't know whether the six is low or the start of an echo with six-five. When dummy holds the six, however, the five and seven are equals, so it's impossible to introduce an ambiguity. On this particular deal, scrambling a count signal probably won't matter. But it's good to get in the habit of keeping the opponents in the dark when you can.
About fifteen years ago, I wrote a whole blog on the rules for declarer's spot-card plays, showing how to create the maximum ambiguity in a variety of situations. If you go back and read all the posts from the last fifteen years, I'm sure you'll find it. But before you do, head over to Jazlene's YouTube channel to get her comments on Board 3.